Daily Election Report: Thursday, February 22, 2018

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Presidential Election:

Trump: The president appears to be in good shape. Five pollsters since the 2018 State of the Union address gave him an approval rating of at least 43%. Keep in mind, he got 46% of the popular vote in 2016.

Kander: Former Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander, 36, will likely run for president in 2020 based on the fact that he’s gone to Iowa and New Hampshire more than any other potential candidate.

Senate Elections:

Florida: Senator Bill Nelson attended the CNN town hall event in Broward County. It was a very anti-gun crowd and they gave Rubio some very difficult questions. It was probably a good idea for Governor Rick Scott to skip the town hall.

Maryland: A Goucher College poll found incumbent Senator Ben Cardin leading Chelsea Manning 61%-17%. Surprisingly, 44% don’t have an opinion of Manning, despite the national headlines. About 17% of Democratic Party voters have a favorable opinion of her, while 37% have an unfavorable opinion of her. Safe Dem.

House Elections:

New Jersey’s 11th: Good news! Republicans have a strong recruit: Antony Ghee. He’s an investment banker, Army Reserve major, and an African American. He wrote a book called Fraud, Lies & Greed. He was raised by a single mother and grandmother in Trenton. He has already been endorsed by Essex and Passaic county GOP organizations. Incumbent Republican Congressman Rodney Frelinghuysen decided to retire. The only other declared GOP candidates are Assemblyman Jay Webber and attorney Martin Hewitt. Former federal prosecutor and Navy veteran Mikie Sherrill is considered the frontrunner in the Democratic primary based on his local establishment endorsements. Trump won this district 49%-48%, while Romney won this seat 52%-47%. This race is a tossup.

Pennsylvania’s 6th: Incumbent Congressman Ryan Costello called the new map “racist” and wants the Supreme Court judges impeached. He’s clearly not happy because Clinton won the new 6th district 52%-43%, but he still has a chance of winning. Toss up.

Pennsylvania’s 18th: The mistress of former Republican Congressman Tim Murphy has decided to run for Congress herself, as a Republican. Shannon Edwards, 33, has decided to challenge Dem Congressman Mike Doyle in this Safe Democratic seat in Pittsburgh. Hillary Clinton received 64% of the vote here in 2016.



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