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Daily Election Report: Monday, February 19, 2018

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Senate:

Indiana/Missouri: Both right-wing and left-wing groups have launched ads on the Trump tax cuts in these two red states with incumbent Democratic senators (McCaskill and Donnelly). Americans for Prosperity is spending $4 million in TV and digital ads attacking McCaskill and Donnelly for voting against the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. Two left-wing groups, Senate Majority PAC and Priorities USA, are spending $2.4 million to counter in Indiana and Missouri.

Texas: Dem Congressman Beto O’Rourke is raising a lot of money in his long-shot bid against Senator Ted Cruz. He raised $2.2 million in 2018 so far and has outpaced Cruz in the last 3 months. However, Texas is the nation’s 2nd most populous state, and O’Rourke is going to need at least $10 million to make this race competitive.

West Virginia: Former coal CEO Don Blankenship, who is running for this seat as a Republican, is attacking front-runner Patrick Morrissey is TV ads for being in bed with Big Pharma.

House:

Michigan’s 13th: John Conyers’ son John Conyers III, a 27-year-old rapper, has announced that he is running for his father’s seat. He, like his parents, are thugs. The 27-year-old was arrested earlier this year for assaulting his girlfriend and called his father, an alleged sex predator, a ““f***ing player and reckless as hell!” The disgraced Congressman endorsed him for the seat, snubbing his grandnephew, State Senator Ian Conyers. Other Democrats running for this seat include Detroit City Council President Brenda Jones (endorsed by current Mayor Mike Duggan), state Senator Coleman Young II, former state Rep. Rashida Tlaib, and former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson.

Minnesota’s 8th: It’s not over yet. Retired television news anchor Michelle Lee said she’s “99.9%” sure she’s running. She would join state Representative Joe Radinovich and North Branch Mayor Kirsten Hagen Kennedy in the Democratic primary.

Texas’ 32nd: Democrat Ed Meier, a former policy adviser for Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign and Obama Administration official, ran a disgusting ad using his daughter as a political prop. He is running against Rules Committee Chairman Pete Sessions, who is also a former NRCC Chair. Sessions will likely raise enough money to keep his seat. However, it’s a Romney-Clinton swing district. Clinton narrowly won here 49% to 47%, while Romney won the district 57%-42% in 2012 and McCain carried it 53%-45% in 2008.

South Carolina’s 5th: Republicans got a huge recruit here for Trey Gowdy’s seat: Mark Burns, a Black evangelical pastor and prominent Trump supporter. He has nearly 100,000 Twitter supporters. He’s also a member of Trump’s Faith Advisory Council and is frequently on TV defending the president. Considering his nationwide popularity, he will likely raise enough money and have enough name recognition to win the Republican primary. He will compete against state Senator William Timmons, state Representative Dan Hamilton, and radio talk show host Joshua Kimbrell. Each of the last three Republican presidential nominees cracked 60% of the vote here.

 

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