Daily Election Report: February 15, 2018

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Indiana: Senate candidate and Congressman Todd Rokita (R-IN) got national headlines by introducing CRUMBS Act, which an acronym for the Creating Relief and Useful Middle-Class Benefits and Savings Act. It would make most bonuses given out as a result of Tax Cuts and Jobs Act tax-free. It refers to Nancy Pelosi’s now infamous “crumbs” gaffe. This move will likely make Rokita the nominee, or at least help him raise a lot of money.

North Dakota: GOP mega-donor and Oklahoma oil tycoon Harold Hamm wants to be Kevin Cramer’s finance chair.

Utah: Mitt Romney will launch his senate campaign today for Orrin Hatch’s Senate seat. He’ll win easily.

West Virginia: Joe Manchin is wetting his pants right now, which means the polling is tightening. Republicans have a crowded field led by Attorney General Patrick Morrissey and two-term Congressman Evan Jenkins.


Arizona’s 6th: Rep. Dave Schweikert’s chief of staff is facing an ethics complaint about taking two salaries while working for Congress. He has four opponents, but none of them are notable. Trump won this district by a modest ten-point margin, 52%-42%. However, Romney (60%) and McCain (58%) did far better.

California’s 50th: Incumbent Rep. Duncan Hunter is still in legal trouble, but he’s running for re-election anyway. He has two Republican primary challengers. Democrats have two strong candidates: former Obama administration official Ammar Campa-Najjar and retired Navy SEAL Josh Butner. Both of them outraised Hunter in the last quarter, which is a bad sign. It’s a pretty tough district for any Democrat. The last three Republicans won by double-digit margins: Trump (55%), Romney (60%), and McCain (58%). Likely Republican.

Minnesota’s 8th: Rick Nolan’s 2016 campaign manager Joe Radinovich, also a former State Representative, is running for the seat himself. He joins North Branch Mayor Kirsten Hagen Kennedy.

North Dakota’s At-Large: State Senator Tom Campbell might drop out of the Senate race for Cramer and is now running for Cramer’s at-large congressional seat.

Wisconsin’s 3rd: Incumbent Congressman Ron Kind (D-WI) just got an enormous break. His primary opponent Juliet Germanotta was charged and will be arrested for grand larceny.




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